2011 LED lighting market outlook output value penetration rate will exceed 10%

Although LED lighting accounts for a small output value in the overall lighting market, it is estimated to be 3.2% in 2010. However, under the global awareness of environmental protection, LED lighting has become one of the major development policies of many countries. It will be helped by national policy. The output value of LED lighting has increased.

According to the LED development schedule set by the US Department of Energy (DOE), the target for 2010 is 140lm/W, and for 2020 is 243lm/W. The manufacturer predicts that if the annual luminous efficiency is increased by 15~20%, DOE The 243lm/W target set in 2020 has a great opportunity to move forward.

Taking Japan, which has developed rapidly in recent LED lighting, as an example, the common goal with DOE in the United States is that the target for LED lighting will reach 200 lm/W in 2015. The difference lies in the introduction of NEDO's LED lighting terminal market in Japan. For example, in 2020, the goal is to sell lighting products on the market, 100% will use high-efficiency solid-state lighting.

Among the LED lighting projects promoted by countries, LED bulbs will be one of the priority products. If the technology is not considered, the global bulbs will have an average of 200E. It is worth noting that CFL bulbs still have many advantages. Although the penetration rate of LED bulbs is only about 3% in 2011, it will reach 600 million in terms of quantity. In 2013, 40W and 60W traditional bulbs will be eliminated. Cheng, the estimated LED bulb market size can reach 2.5 billion.

Following the LED bulbs, many manufacturers have also developed LED tubes. In the early stage, the willingness to introduce the factory is higher. When the price of LED lamps in the future drops by more than 30% per year, and the efficiency of LED lighting is greatly improved, DIGITIMES expects shipments to reach 260 million in 2013.

In view of the development of the overall LED lighting market, in the past, LED lighting applications were mainly portable lighting, decorative lighting, and indirect lighting. As of 2011, in response to the ban on incandescent lamps in 2012, LED bulb shipments will grow significantly, and the output value is estimated to be as high as about 8 billion US dollars, plus LED lighting in North America, Japan, South Korea and other countries. Driven by the subsidy policy for green products, and the high willingness to replace the LEDs and other factors, such as the sale of shops and workshops, the global LED lighting market penetration rate has a great chance to break through 10%.

After 2012, LED manufacturers such as Philips, Osram, Cree and other major lighting markets, and many countries began to budget for LED street lights, plus LED lighting prices will fall more than 30% per year, etc. It is estimated that the penetration rate of global LED lighting output value will further increase to nearly 20% in 2013.

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