Top Ten Trends in Technology in 2016, VR ranked first

The Institute of Industrial Intelligence (MIC) has long observed the trend of the technology industry and proposed the trend of the top ten trends in 2016, among which VR virtual reality ranked first, and that next year is the first year of VR commercial.

Trend 1: Virtual commercial wind - virtual reality (VR) ecological shaping, welcoming the commercial first year

In 2016, there are three types of VR headsets: Samsung Gear VR2 with mobile phone, HTC Vive with computer, Oculus Rift and Sony PlayStaTIon VR with game console. In the development of related new technologies, the algorithm focuses on algorithms. , eye tracking technology, image display technology, screen update rate and so on. The initial consumer market opportunities in VR are mainly game applications and audio-visual entertainment, while commercial market opportunities are based on product design and display. Multi-vertical applications are about to emerge, such as 3D concerts, VR play centers, 3D virtual sports events and building houses.

Trend 2: 5G Acceleration Wind - Next Generation Communication Standards Create Emerging Networking Application Situations

It is expected that the 2016 3GPP Release 13 standard will be finalized, which will have new technologies affecting the industry: such as narrow-band Internet of Things (NB-IoT), 5G wireless new access technology below 6GHz, and small base station (Small Cell) Focusing on dual-line mode and Authorized Auxiliary Access Technology (LAA), pioneers in the 5G industry, such as test and chip companies, will create the first wave of business opportunities. The leading mobile telecom operators in Europe, the United States and Asia, such as Verizon and NTT DoCoMo, will be the first to launch field trials in the future. Expanding 5G business, this is expected to trigger new networking applications and related hardware and software equipment opportunities.

Trend 3: Biopayment Winds - Experience more convenient and secure mobile payment services

There are four types of bio-payments in the market competition from 2016 to 2017. One of them: fingerprint payment will be easy to use, and the advantages of security and device become popular. It will become the mainstream application of global bio-payment. The penetration rate on mobile phones will exceed in 2016. 40%; Second: due to low cost and high convenience, face payment may be supported by credit card and third-party financial industry in the future, becoming an emerging application; Third: iris payment will be led by Japanese and Korean markets, related development The Chinese technology will gradually realize the commercial application of the terminal products; Fourthly, the advantage of intravenous payment is that it cannot be forged, and the recognition rate is the highest. However, because it is a contact identification method, the future may affect the popularity of the application. Biopayment services are expected to diversify in the future and affect industries such as traditional retail and financial services.

Trend 4: API Financial Wind - Open Financial API, Cross-border Integration Innovation Service

In 2016, the Open API (ApplicaTIon Programming Interface) has two main directions: first, the government will lead the development of industry standards; second, the third-party platform operators will establish a matchmaking mechanism. As the industry standards and mediation mechanism will gradually improve, it is expected that the global financial industry Open API application will show explosive growth, such as Cathay China Bank's "Line Pay" and China Trust, PChome and 7-11 cooperation "Pi Electronics" Under the trend of API applications such as “wallet”, in 2016, more financial industries will package internal financial data resources and transaction service functions into API products through Open API, and combine third-party developers with sales and cooperation models to develop Incorporate innovative business applications in financial services and consumer industries.

Trend 5: Sharing the economic wind - resource sharing experience new life, re-creating new business opportunities

E-commerce continues from the "product-oriented" to the "service-oriented" core, and observes the three major directions of sharing economic trends in 2016: First, lightweight assets: real service providers sharing economic platforms, mostly external partners Or independentlancers (Freelancer), maintenance and logistics will also rely on external strategic partners as much as possible. The advantage is that they can respond quickly to market changes, and operating costs can be minimized. Second, the data is supreme: the biggest asset in the future is the consumer's front-to-back data, which is the basis for supply and demand. Third, partners: Through a good “distribution mechanism”, partners are willing to join and stay in the platform.

Trend 6: Architecture Reengineering Wind - Industry 4.0 Drives Enterprise Information Architecture to Restructure Business Opportunities

In 2016, the government actively promoted productivity 4.0, while the global industry is also moving toward smart manufacturing development. After various devices, control systems and sensing devices are connected to the enterprise information platform environment, the enterprise information network architecture may become complicated and fragmented. The overlap between IT and OT (OperaTIonal Technology) systems, the interweaving of new and old network environments and the leakage of security systems are expected to drive new business opportunities such as “enterprise diagnosis”, “architecture design” and “system reorganization”.

Trend 7: Purchasing and Integrating Winds - Information Plants Actively Deploying Virtual Vertical Industry Competitiveness

With the rise of business opportunities in cloud applications and the importance of information immediacy, the information giants have been actively promoted to relevant cloud applications. However, due to the wide range of cloud applications, the information giants have rapidly built up their core competitiveness in the form of mergers and acquisitions, which has led to the development of the industry towards “purchase and integration”. It is expected that the development trend of this purchase and integration will become more obvious after 2016. The direction of large-scale mergers and acquisitions will be transformed from the past “hard integration” to “soft level” including software, application key technologies and service platform standards. The consolidation.

Trend 8: China's self-made style - China's manufacturing continues to shake the global semiconductor industry

China’s imports in the semiconductor sector total more than 200 billion U.S. dollars each year, highlighting the current situation of “lack of core” in mainland China. Under the goal of 70% of the domestic demand market IC domestic self-control rate in 2025, on the one hand, it attracts foreign businessmen to advance to the mainland. On the other hand, the use of mergers and acquisitions has prompted the Chinese semiconductor industry to rapidly expand and acquire technology; especially after the establishment of the big fund, direct or indirect acquisitions and investment cases (such as Ziguang) with official funds have attracted worldwide attention. In 2016, under the strategy of actively promoting semiconductor self-control in mainland China, it will accelerate the pace of setting up factories in the mainland by international manufacturers and Taiwanese manufacturers.

Trend 9: Anti-customer-oriented style - PC products break the traditional Wintel product thinking

Looking forward to the global information system market in 2016, after the commercial exchange, the demand for PC products continues to cool down. New niche applications such as e-sports and education have gradually become the focus of PC-related industry development in recent years. In particular, those who provide software services or content will invest in the development of autonomous operating systems (OS) under the premise of improving their performance, and actively develop new-type applications that can be added by PC architecture to form a new product development model of “anti-customer-oriented”. In order to deepen the performance of the game, for example, gamers have already invested in the development of exclusive operating systems for the games they operate. In 2016, it is expected that PC new products will accelerate the framework of traditional Wintel, and break through the market of commercial, enterprise and family. However, each emerging application product has many different characteristics, which will impact the existing supply chain and economies of scale. Thinking and follow-up will also challenge how the industry can deploy existing production systems.

Trend 10: IOT competes for the wind - starting from the OS to solve the IoT issues

In 2016, the official version of ARM's IoT operating system, mbed OS, will go online, which is expected to solve the problem that the current IoT devices cannot communicate with each other because of different communication standards and agreements. At this stage, Internet of Things platforms such as Windows 10 IoT Core, LinkIT OS, TIzen, WebOS and LiteOS are competing for the market. ARM has authorized a huge number of embedded networked devices (more than 50% of the global market share) in one year. Market advantage, directly at the bottom of the Cortex-M chip, the development of the IoT operating system, using the same architecture processor device, you can build an application interoperability pipeline on this platform, which will reduce the developer's learning, development and certification Costs are conducive to spawning more emerging applications for the Internet of Things.

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